Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 11.462036 13.124851 14.958821 17.133999 19.646680 22.461839 25.860340
2025-10-05 9.455875 11.672661 14.317421 17.714699 21.976661 27.164426 33.985503
2025-10-12 8.246556 10.738153 13.882039 18.158862 23.854700 31.220241 41.533298
2025-10-19 7.465290 10.156112 13.711503 18.783339 25.882621 35.540155 49.798850
2025-10-26 6.501116 9.175914 12.849965 18.306047 26.273370 37.591416 55.081254
2025-11-02 5.798671 8.457411 12.238232 18.059144 26.889738 39.935573 60.949255
2025-11-09 5.231382 7.860258 11.718156 17.856370 27.499163 42.267256 66.983688
2025-11-16 4.743211 7.323515 11.221101 17.613242 27.984256 44.407177 72.891591
2025-11-23 4.300430 6.808554 10.699456 17.262225 28.234116 46.158061 78.301610
2025-11-30 4.149015 6.735407 10.856093 18.004858 30.322461 51.087359 89.607680
2025-12-07 3.919016 6.510234 10.741186 18.274652 31.623097 54.793038 99.154263
2025-12-14 3.657710 6.207584 10.467224 18.238157 32.372434 57.588763 107.326540
2025-12-21 3.384765 5.865497 10.103115 18.019884 32.794219 59.874192 114.882195
2025-12-28 3.271619 5.792123 10.197497 18.631802 34.795443 65.262835 129.073682
2026-01-04 3.145547 5.683255 10.216386 19.100357 36.563281 70.374744 143.303418
2026-01-11 3.055755 5.631836 10.332729 19.759180 38.757117 76.527775 160.404886
2026-01-18 2.819551 5.286807 9.873266 19.255631 38.581296 77.903828 167.488528
2026-01-25 2.635515 5.026225 9.552213 18.995161 38.869681 80.248988 176.948557
2026-02-01 2.473058 4.794489 9.267769 18.781254 39.229358 82.768856 187.083364
2026-02-08 2.319518 4.568327 8.976039 18.524786 39.469478 85.045694 196.913662
2026-02-15 2.166561 4.331652 8.644667 18.154530 39.423091 86.678516 205.398835
2026-02-22 2.141449 4.354082 8.842700 18.937894 42.014896 94.508624 229.909422
2026-03-01 2.068613 4.271363 8.815158 19.222510 43.497792 99.930565 249.089294